Tuesday, July 28, 2009

World Population

The United Nations Population Database provides low, medium, and high variants in its population growth estimates. Of the three, the low variant is consistently the most accurate.

What does the low estimate predict?

That the world's population will increase by about another billion people over the next 30 years -- peaking at around 8.02 billion -- and will then begin to decline.

One would think that this would quell the fears of the zero-population growth crowd, but so far they have stuck to their dogma that the world's population should be reduced to one billion.

This is not quite as odd as their trick of talking about undesirable populations. It leaves me inclined to ask if they themselves are a part of the undesirable population -- and if not, how do they know?

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